Today I read an article that compares the profession of programmer with the ancient profession of scribe. People, as the main actors in programming, will be replaced in the future by different types of AI. I don't completely agree with it, but I feel something similar. I think, in the future, decrease the number of open vacancies, increase the number of available specialists, increase competition on position. How result, salary will be decrease to level of supporting personal.
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Top comments (3)
That's a very limited view on the scale of tech. Sure basic support can go to AI, but complex operations won't be trusted to AI, humans will always be involved. [ok not in like a few centuries, if we survive that long]
In time, yea lots of people will lose their jobs, but that's also because lots of people are just really bad at their jobs and AI can easily knock em out of their seats. It will be increasingly easier to show where humans under perform.
This cannot be done with certain positions, and as a developer i think we'll be happier for it as the jobs that will get removed are most of those in-between people who don't help solve problems, and mainly create more problems. PMs/QAs/BAs who aren't good at what they do will go first.
The reason "everyone" is so afraid, to me, seems to be that this era will kill off lots of white collar jobs, and not just blue collar jobs which will actually gain a boost from AI but cannot be replaced by AI since robots are decades behind computing power.
I am not sure that very constrained biochemical intelligence, can be comparable with true artificial intelligence, not with current AI. It is only my point of view.
Even in your present thoughts, that market will not need that many specialists. I don't think that the number of nontrivial problems that developers are solving is so high. In general, most of the tasks are trivial and can be replaced. I don't know when, but by the logic of progress in several decades.
Sure...now explain to an AI how to add "pop" and "pzazz: to a design, or how to make a website secure without breaking access or functionality to half its users....i'm gonna wait over here in my corner of "job security".