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Joshua Nelson ✨
Joshua Nelson ✨

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The case for performance (Part 1)

Note: this is part 1 of a series on meaningful performance metrics.

The median page load time for a website on a mobile device is 15.6 seconds.

15.6 seconds.

Think about that.

Imagine if you picked up a newspaper or book, and the letters were invisible, or jumped around, for a full 15.6 seconds before staying still.

First, you'd probably be shocked, books don't normally do that. After that, you'd probably drop it somewhere around the 10 second mark.

This is a totally normal experience for lots of people when trying to use the web on mobile devices. This is a fundamentally broken experience, and it's one that we can fix.

The pain of slowly loading websites is one that I've felt acutely over the course of my life. I used to live in a fairly small town, in rural Australia.

Australia isn't exactly famous for blazing fast internet speeds. They did a test, around the time I lived there, in 2009. The Prime Minister said

If [the opposition] had their way Australians would be left using carrier pigeons for the future rather than accessing an internationally competitive broadband network

So, they tested it. They flew a carrier pigeon with a 700 megabyte usb drive from the central west, to Sydney, about 100kms or 60 miles.

Carrier pigeon

The carrier pigeon won, in 1 hour and 5 minutes. They sent a car, which took 2 hours and 10 minutes. And the internet didn't even make it, it dropped out twice.

This is the environment that web pages are loading in, every day. But, it was in 2009, so surely things have gotten better since then, right?

Luckily, they have! Internet speeds have improved over time:

graph of internet speeds

And on top of that, CPU speeds have also been increasing every year:

graph of CPU speeds

But alas! The web isn't getting faster at all:

graph of page load times

Why is this? We keep improving our technology, but the internet speeds have stayed roughly the same over the past few years.

A similar thing happens when we add extra lanes to a highway – a phenomenon known as the "induced demand" effect. Research has found that adding extra lanes to a highway doesn't actually improve traffic much at all – and sometimes makes it worse. A 1% increase in highway capacity can lead to an up to 1.1% increase in demand! The more highway there is, the more people want to use it.

A similar thing has happened with the web. As technology has improved, our appetite for media, new experiences, and ultimately, total bundle size, has grown.

graph of increasing bundle size


So, this problem is not getting better. But for the sake of our users, it needs to.

The impact of performance

There are three major areas that this has an impact: It affects business goals, user happiness, and ultimately, the world.

Business goals

A person on a laptop in a conference room

Performance directly equates to business goals, and money $$$.

Research conducted by Microsoft found that a one second delay in Bing resulted in a 2.8% drop in revenue. Two seconds of delay resulted in a 4.3% drop.

Walmart found that a one second improvement in load time resulted in a 2% increase in conversions, and every 100ms resulted in up to a 1% increase in conversions.

Google found that publishers whose mobile sites load in 5 seconds earn double from mobile ad revenue than sites loading in 19 seconds.

There are many, similar results from all sorts of sites.

So, time invested in fixing performance directly leads to money. It's already worth investing in performance, just based on this alone.

User happiness

A frustrated user on a laptop

Human Computer Interaction research shows that from the users perspective, there are three general categories of tasks:

  • Tasks in <= 0.1s are "instant" tasks. The user feels as though the system is reacting immediately to their input
  • Tasks in <= 1s are flow tasks. The user is able to maintain a sense of flow as they are navigating through their tasks. They will notice delay, but it will not break concentration
  • Tasks in > 10s result in a task switch

However, along that spectrum, from 1 second to 10 seconds, users are getting progressively more and more frustrated. The moment at which the user is switching a task, the user is certainly frustrated – impacting how they feel about your product, and making them unhappy.

The world

A picture of earth

A version of youtube was created, called "Youtube feather". This version of youtube was 90% lighter in terms of page weight, and contained just the bare minimum for youtube to load. The creators wanted to see if this would improve average load times for that version, so they opted in a small percentage of traffic.

Strangely, they found that the average load time actually went up!

Upon investigation, they found an increase in traffic from Southeast Asia, South America, Africa and Sibera – areas with traditionally poor internet connectivity. These were actually new users – users who previously would not have been able to use Youtube at all, due to prohibitively slow loading times!

What next?

So, performance is a problem, and it's one worth fixing. However, it's pretty likely if you're reading this that you already think that performance is an issue.

Then, why haven't we fixed it?

There are a couple of common responses I've heard:

  1. The "give up": "It's such a hard problem, we can't fix it"
  2. The "denial": "It's ok, our users have fast internet and cpu's, right?"
  3. The "loop": "Oh god you're right, let's fix it" -> "we fixed it!" -> "Oh god it's terrible again"

So, performance is doomed to be bad until the inevitable heat death of the universe. Ever expanding entropy will claim all. Chaos reigns supreme. We can’t control it, performance will always regress.

Or, we try.

Meaningful performance metrics can save you.

We need a meaningful way of measuring performance, and to make a commitment that we'll hold to, once and for all.

Top comments (10)

ben profile image
Ben Halpern

It blows my mind how little thought performance is given.

A static or pre-cached webpage served from a CDN will be pretty damn fast. The lop-on features that force things to get worse and worse and worse until the site is unusable really need to be checked before they are added in.

Super great series.

joshua profile image
Joshua Nelson ✨

Yes, what really gets me is the fact that it's actually worth it from a business perspective a lot of the time! It often isn't given roadmap time or effort, but performance is a feature too, in the sense that it literally increases conversions, click through rates, and user satisfaction.

I think that coming up with actually meaningful metrics and targets to help to demonstrate this fact to people will help. Being able to get to a point where you yourself can see both an improvement in your metric, and the business goals – it should be clear that the ongoing investment is worth it.

darkain profile image
Vincent Milum Jr

There are a number of metrics that I put into place with my environments to help monitor performance.

First, nginx configuration:

add_header X-Request-Time '$request_time';

This will add an additional header to every page request detailing how long it took to process the request. My particular framework (Altaform) can generally render pages in ~10ms time, unless there are very large and complex SQL queries. Luckily, the framework itself benchmarks those queries and will report them out to me as well.

My primary web browser is Opera. The browser has a built in VPN service. Enabling this, I can with a simple click in the address bar, switch with VPN region I'm connecting through, essentially simulating a global hop between end-points. The browser has several regions available, so this has been great to do global network latency testing.

Another thing I do sometimes is pay the $8 or whatever for wifi while flying, with the only reason being that I want to test my web sites through it. Airplanes have terrible internet connections usually, with countless passengers all sharing a single high latency satellite connection.

Lastly, depending on cell phone, you can manually set what cell generation to connect through. Many Android phones still have the option to force 3G or 2G (Edge) connectivity. This is another great way to test network latency and bandwidth with a web application.

thekashey profile image
Anton Korzunov

Australia is the best place to debug page speed :)

roseanna profile image
Roseanna Mcfarlane

Really throwing Australia under the bus there Josh 😅

joshua profile image
Joshua Nelson ✨

Fibre to the home!

t3ndai profile image
Prince T Dzonga

as a Javascript or front-end Engineer, I say the number one problem is throwing Javascript or heavy client side frameworks like React at everything. Maybe it's because of FOMO but a majority of apps out there don't warrant use of client side frameworks when Vanilla.js can be enough. Simple yardstick to judge whether your app needs a client side framework is: it is going to be used only on desktop for 'desktop' like native apps ? Yes. Is it consumer facing, with majority of users on mobile phones: then no.

jamespwright profile image
James Wright

Do you happen to have any sources for those studies you cited? I'd like to look into those.

joshua profile image
Joshua Nelson ✨

Yes, absolutely – I've updated the post to include links to all my references :) Thanks for asking!

sofiapalamarchuk profile image
Sofia Palamarchuk

"Imagine if you picked up a newspaper or book, and the letters were invisible, or jumped around, for a full 15.6 seconds before staying still."

I never thought about it that way! Love it!