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Demand forecasting to mitigate supply gap

jinglescode profile image Jingles (Hong Jing) ・1 min read

The coronavirus has affected everyone around the globe. People have lost their loved ones, countries have shut down, medical professionals are working around the clock and people have lost their jobs.

As artificial intelligence has been one of the hottest topics around for several years. How has it been relevant in such times, and how can it help humanity in beating this crisis?

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is a research organization at the University of Washington School of Medicine. They released a set of coronavirus data forecasts visualizations that the White House, Federal Emergency Management Agency and hospitals are using to mobilize resources.

IHME developed a model that predicts the demand for the number of hospital beds and ventilators. It also predicts the number of deaths from coronavirus from around the world over the next 4 months.

IHME published their analysis on March 26. They predicted that the demand for hospital services is likely going to exceed capacity substantially. 41 states will need more ICU beds than what hospitals have available, with 11 states needing to increase the number of ICU beds by more than 50%. These analyses have help government and organizations to meet the incoming demand and implement strategies to mitigate this supply gap.

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Jingles (Hong Jing)

@jinglescode

PhD student, working on machine learning, applying in healthcare

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