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Discussion on: How to outsmart peers in estimation — PERT principle

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Rolf Streefkerk

Good post, I hold perhaps a contrarian view on this and that is that estimation is a waste of time. Why? because it's hard and in 90% of the cases people get it wrong.

What is the alternative? No estimation! You have your team create tasks/issues that take roughly 1 day (8 hours) (or whatever metric you prefer) to complete. Over time you'll see the burn rate of your team and you'll get a productivity average your team is able to produce during a week's time or even sprints of several weeks if you want to use something like Scrum.

Depending on the type of task, and the team maturity you'll end up with a certain level of accuracy. This is true regardless of actually estimating your tasks or you ballpark it with this method.