Aging Java back-end guy. Ironically although I got my github thinking I'd fill it with nifty stuff I'd do in Java on my own time, I've ended up sticking a load of JavaScript on it instead!
My gut feeling is that it'll follow a normal distribution curve (bell curve) rather than a Pareto distribution, possibly skewed up or down depending on various factors like team morale, buy-in to the project, and environmental factors (Oh WHEN are they going to fix the air-con in here?! It's too hot to think!). Most people don't like to do worse than average for the team because obviously they don't want to be seen as dragging their velocity down - but equally if one person does so much more than anyone else it can create bad feeling because it's putting pressure on everyone else to perform better than they're comfortable doing & it's making people look bad. Nobody likes a teacher's pet, so to speak.
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My gut feeling is that it'll follow a normal distribution curve (bell curve) rather than a Pareto distribution, possibly skewed up or down depending on various factors like team morale, buy-in to the project, and environmental factors (Oh WHEN are they going to fix the air-con in here?! It's too hot to think!). Most people don't like to do worse than average for the team because obviously they don't want to be seen as dragging their velocity down - but equally if one person does so much more than anyone else it can create bad feeling because it's putting pressure on everyone else to perform better than they're comfortable doing & it's making people look bad. Nobody likes a teacher's pet, so to speak.